Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.594594 0.664888 0.741078 0.829942 0.930924 1.042319 1.174794
2025-02-16 0.485226 0.581442 0.694098 0.836377 1.012167 1.223378 1.498075
2025-02-23 0.428155 0.537083 0.671358 0.850323 1.084510 1.383149 1.796996
2025-03-02 0.373994 0.486263 0.630374 0.830860 1.105607 1.473353 2.010309
2025-03-09 0.344941 0.462888 0.619818 0.846661 1.170750 1.624091 2.318655
2025-03-16 0.313570 0.432303 0.595212 0.838622 1.199227 1.723567 2.561953
2025-03-23 0.292115 0.412858 0.583302 0.845935 1.248480 1.855611 2.866702
2025-03-30 0.268535 0.387922 0.560732 0.834399 1.266806 1.940821 3.105569
2025-04-06 0.249870 0.368404 0.544059 0.829495 1.293683 2.040338 3.377306
2025-04-13 0.226168 0.339301 0.510342 0.794492 1.268211 2.051247 3.497577
2025-04-20 0.215337 0.329073 0.504740 0.803569 1.315270 2.186438 3.851008
2025-04-27 0.205575 0.319689 0.499546 0.812485 1.362262 2.325267 4.226828
2025-05-04 0.195302 0.308951 0.491668 0.816737 1.402521 2.458118 4.612488
2025-05-11 0.185659 0.298556 0.483570 0.819886 1.441091 2.591993 5.018492
2025-05-18 0.178830 0.292293 0.481805 0.833784 1.500242 2.770039 5.537188
2025-05-25 0.166991 0.276665 0.462778 0.814723 1.495168 2.822686 5.798210
2025-06-01 0.161738 0.272038 0.462556 0.830183 1.557849 3.016074 6.391117
2025-06-08 0.153313 0.261247 0.450558 0.822318 1.573405 3.114363 6.783287
2025-06-15 0.147746 0.255175 0.446614 0.829472 1.619725 3.281535 7.358286
2025-06-22 0.140024 0.244697 0.433832 0.818187 1.626645 3.364289 7.742144
2025-06-29 0.133732 0.236463 0.424686 0.813390 1.646703 3.477848 8.218173
2025-07-06 0.124139 0.221525 0.401905 0.779146 1.600101 3.435940 8.292065
2025-07-13 0.120509 0.217629 0.400087 0.788026 1.649035 3.619364 8.982342